Trump has already lost Michigan–he put that Premium I Have World’s Dopest Aunt Shirt nail in the coffin himself with. His a stupid confrontation with Whitmer. Biden has been consistently polling much better in Pennsylvania than Clinton did. And the fact that he’s a Scranton-born “favorite son” is going to help him there. With Wisconsin. The 2018 election and the special election earlier this year shows that the Democrats have the advantage there now. People don’t understand how polls work. Winning 50.1% of the vote gives you a 100% chance of victory. Those two percentages measure completely different things. People hear “80% chance of victory” and think the vote is going to be 80/20 when it’s still going to be pretty close to 50/50.
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Meanwhile, Trump has no credible shot of winning a state that Clinton carried in 2016. He’s defending a razor-thin, improbable margin while being the most unpopular incumbent in 28 years during a pandemic and recession, his handling of which is viewed overwhelmingly negative by the American public. Trump is very, very likely to lose. We can believe that and Premium I Have World’s Dopest Aunt Shirt still keep enthusiasm up by talking about utterly crushing him and the GOP that enabled him. Not to mention that you are part of the statistics. Polls don’t predict the future, they reflect, among other things your current attitude towards voting.
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